Flashback: Gallup Poll Report Post Palin's Convention Speech;"Obama's lead has now disappeared totally"

Here is the unmistakeable and huge leap in John McCain's polling subsequent to Sarah Palin's incredible convention address. From an 8 point Obama lead to a 4 point McCain/Palin lead.

The McCain lead held until the full blast of the economic collapse at which point there was nothing that the GOP could have done to win the election.

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September 8, 2008

Republicans’ Enthusiasm Jumps After Convention

McCain edges ahead; Palin speech may be a factor

by Frank Newport

PRINCETON, NJ -- As the remarkable two-week stretch of back-to-back presidential nomination conventions ends, a weekend USA Today/Gallup Poll finds that the John McCain-Sarah Palin ticket has more than matched the Barack Obama-Joe Biden ticket's convention bounce of last week with a "rebound" bounce, and in the immediate aftermath of the GOP convention McCain and Palin now have a slight edge over their opponents

McCain edges ahead; Palin speech may be a factor

by Frank Newport

PRINCETON, NJ -- As the remarkable two-week stretch of back-to-back presidential nomination conventions ends, a weekend USA Today/Gallup Poll finds that the John McCain-Sarah Palin ticket has more than matched the Barack Obama-Joe Biden ticket's convention bounce of last week with a "rebound" bounce, and in the immediate aftermath of the GOP convention McCain and Palin now have a slight edge over their opponents.

The presidential race was dead even at 45% to 45% among registered voters in Gallup tracking conducted prior to the Democratic convention. Then, by the USA Today/Gallup Poll conducted in the first few days after the Democratic convention (and also after McCain had made his announcement of Sarah Palin as his running mate), Obama had moved ahead by a 47% to 43% margin. (In Gallup Poll Daily tracking extending into the beginning of last week, Obama reached a point where he had 50% of the vote and an eight percentage point lead.) Obama's lead has now disappeared totally, and McCain sits on a 4-point advantage among registered voters in the Friday through Sunday poll. That's the largest advantage for McCain in either USA Today/Gallup Polls or Gallup Poll Daily tracking since May.

The convention and/or McCain's selection of Sarah Palin as his vice presidential running mate not only had the effect of moving the horserace needle in McCain's direction, but also increased several measures of enthusiasm for the GOP.

There has been a very substantial jump in the percentage of Republicans saying they are more enthusiastic about voting in this election, from 42% a week ago (after the Democratic convention, but before the Republican convention) to 60% today. Democrats still retain a slight lead on this measure, having increased their enthusiasm slightly this last week as well. But the enthusiasm gap, which has been so much a part of the story of the presidential election so far this year, has dwindled from 19 points in the Democrats' favor a week ago to only seven points today.

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A Republic High School Students Mom Hits Back At Elitist Snobs Who Decry Palin's Visit To Small Town America

• Susan at Conservatives4Palin reproduces the heartfelt and inspiring letter from a mother of one of the Republic High School students who will welcome Sarah Palin to their small town-despite the bleatings of the elitist left who look down their collective noses at ordinary folks.›

  

  
  

  
  

  
  

  
  

  SusanWo4p • 

  • −

  WOW! 
  You gotta read the comment that one of the graduate's moms wrote in the Seattle Weekly today. Her name is Vesta Brown (her son is the Salutatorian and I hope Sarah gets to meet her.) Here's her comment:

  "It has come to THIS? A long way down??? Yes, indeed.

  THIS being OUR little town of Republic, which is made up of many hard working PEOPLE, who call Republic call their home. Myself included. 
  Hey that makes us Republicans!....... You know, Mr. Ellis, we kind of like it here. Way DOWN here. At the bottom of the world, to hear you tell it.
  If you dont like Sarah, that's your prerogative, but to INSULT all the kids that actually WANT her here, is to take the lowest road you can take.

  You have shown us the ultimate disrespect....What gives you the right to trash us like this?

  You know nothing about our town, or its people. Yet, In your unrestrained zeal to insult Sarah Palin, why do you also feel the need to insult the intelligence of the 27 seniors who CHOSE her to make their graduation special. Her anti-intellectualism??? Your pitiful condescending view of us here in the country reveal your total ignorance of all that is worthwhile, and your disrespectful and cowardly attack on her must make you feel sooo much better.
  
  Does Mr Ellis feel THAT MUCH better now that he has taken the lowest of the low roads, unabashedly bashing Sarah Palin. She was iINVITED here. 
  Unlike you, sir! 
  So, nobody in town is talking about it? Did you interview all 1,073 of us?? Of course not. We will , being limited by our gymnasiums' size, be turning people away, unfortunately.

  And if you were any kind of legitimate journalist, you would have done your homework , and would have discovered that she actually went out of her way to made it quite clear that this was not a media stop. She was coming for the kids, Period. For them. To HONOR them. (do you know that word?) She did not allow any press releases until the last minute. There will be many people turned away tomorrow, but no one will be 
  disappointed that she came. Certainly not the kids. 
  You imply that they would be better off if she stayed home. You are sadly mistaken.

  Even your condescending view of her will do nothing to dampen these kids' spirits.

  To hear you spout your elitist rhetoric, you would think that she has committed the unpardonable sin. What could she possibly be thinking? Can you imagine anything more reprehensible than to actually respond to an invitation to be a guest speaker. How dare she accept? How awful of her. I wonder......How much did it cost the Seattle Weakly to send you all the way across the mountains to spew your arrogant disrespect in our direction? It was a waste of money and time, to be sure. 
  By contrast, our guest speaker, who is not at all interested in what you have to say, is making the trip here on her own dime. At her expense.

  A gift to a group of kids who dont care about the opinions of some arrogant newspaper writer. They are excited about hosting someone who cares about THEM.

  She will NOT be giving a political speech, but she will speaking from her HEART to a graduating class who appreciates her. I cant even imagine what it must like to live without a heart, but I guess it qualifies one to be a writer.....PS as for her commanding a handsome fee to speak,

  I wonder.................. how much YOU could command to give a speech to our students, or anyone for that matter. Supply and demand is still in vogue. Jealousy is a terrible thing, Mr Ellis. You should really consider letting it go.
  After listening to our guest speaker, my son is going to also be giving a speech, as salutatorian of his class. He was a state cross country runner, basketball player, (all conference /MVP)
  and won the State Title in the 400 last weekend. The small insignificant (in your view) little town of Republic actually produces some fine students, athletes, and PEOPLE.

  As mentioned earlier, Republic won a state title in Boys basketball in 2004. From 2004-2007, No team in the STATE had a higher average finish in State tournaments. Our girls team won a state title in basketball in 1981. I think it is rather ironic that Sarah Palin was also a cross country runner, track athlete, and was on a State championship basketball team herself in 1982. You know, I am getting excited about tomorrow. I just happen to hink we are just going to have a lot to talk about, and we should have a grand ol' time!!!!!!!!!!!!

  Too bad you couldnt' be here for the festivities! But I guess you'll probably be too busy traveling to some other place to trash THEM for next weeks column. We understand. And its ok. There wouldnt be room for you anyway."

  
  

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Sarah Palin Righteously Blasts Elitist Seattle Journalists Disparagement Of Her Address To Small Town High School

In one of the most arrogant, dismissive "journalistic" opinion pieces one Ellis Conklin snobbishly attacked Sarah Palin and her upcoming address to the small rural town of Republic Washington's graduating class of 27.

It is a wonderful and inspiring thing that Palin is doing and the memories she creates will last a lifetime. But all the left can see is an opportunity to attack her, the inspiring young man who made the visit possible, small town America and conservative values  http://tiny.cc/p81wxw 

Good for Palin for standing up for all those high principles and what is right. The background to the event is AT THIS LINK

Sarah Palin · 3,550,791 like this

18 minutes ago · 

• Small town America is the soul of our country, despite the opinion of the Seattle Weekly’s Ellis Conklin and the lamestream media. Todd and I are on our way to congratulate the graduating class in Republic, Washington, this Saturday and I’m honored and touched by their ingenuity, tenacity, and invitation to speak to these young Americans about to begin their futures.
  
  Small town America is our heart; it may not be the Ivy Leagues or what Ellis and the media deem acceptable, but these students and this town represent what is good and right about America and the small towns where most of us grew our own roots and values.
  
  Too often the media forgets its own humble roots and plays the elitist card. Not so this weekend. We are going to congratulate the Tigers of 2013 and have something special for each and every one. They will grow to defend our country, manage our economy, build our families, and work to achieve each of their own personal dreams.
  
  Sorry, Seattle Weekly, you, as usual, miss the point.
  
  - Sarah Palin

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Sponsor Of "Traveling Tribute" Vietnam Wall Photo Essay Of Sarah Palin In Buckeye Arizona At Tribute

A wonderful photo essay of the Buckeye event and Sarah Palin's involvement from the sponsors of the "Travelling Wall" Angel MedFlight from their Facebook page. Congratulations to them, all involved and of course the veterans of the conflict.

American Veterans Traveling Tribute in Buckeye, Ariz.

May 14 ·  · Taken in Buckeye, Arizona

Angel MedFlight was a proud sponsor of the AVTT's Traveling Wall

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Electoral College Map Shows Hillary Is not a Shoo-in In 2016

Newt Gingrich basically has written off the GOP's 2016 chances if Hillary Clinton is the nominee for all these reasons 

" Hillary Clinton regularly brushes off the idea of a 2016 presidential bid. But if she were to run, at least one prominent Republican thinks his party would be completely outmatched.

"The Republican party is incapable of competing at that level," Gingrich said 

"First of all, she's very formidable as a person," he said. "She's a very competent person. She's married to the most popular Democrat in the country; they both think [it] would be good for her to be president. It makes it virtually impossible to stop her for the nomination."

In addition to having Bill Clinton's support, Hillary Clinton would also have the backing of President Barack Obama, who will still be a "relatively popular president," Gingrich added. "Trying to win that will be truly the Super Bowl." (read the rest at the LINK).

Since Gingrich made that remark last December the political atmosphere has changed in the respect of President Obama being "relatively popular" with RCP having him down to 41% approval today. It may well be that, as with a number of presidents in the last 6 months of their term, President Obama is very unpopular in 2016. 

This is a major concern of Hillary supporters who see Obama as, for the second time, the destroyer of her presidential hopes as can be seen in this article; "Suddenly Hillary is not odds on the be elected president in 2016" LINK.

On a political level the memory of Hillary Clinton's support for President Bush's invasion of Iraq rankles still with some on the left and, if say Condolleezza Rice were on the GOP ticket then Rice, who might otherwise be vulnerable to the Iraq connection could not be attacked by Clinton LINK.

If in 2016 the economy has not recovered and is in fact in a parlous situation then history shows, as with John McCain in 2008 it doesn't matter who the candidate for the party holding the presidency is, no matter how prominent and capable, or who the challenger is, no matter how unknown or judged incapable, there will be a landslide to the challenger. In that situation then Hillary would lose.

But if the economy is in a recovery situation and President Obama is "relatively  popular" is Hillary Clinton guaranteed of victory-the Electoral College map says otherwise. In effect nothing has changed from the Romney campaign of 2012. The Republican candidate needs to win Florida/Virginia/Ohio. If any one of those three is lost then Republican supporters can turn off their televisions and go get whatever drink best drowns their sorrows.

Those three states were won by President Obama by easily overturned margins so this is a more than reasonable scenario: Florida won by 0.86%  Ohio 2.98%  Virginia 3.88%

If those three are won the game is still not in the bag but it looks promising. Any one of Iowa/Colorado/Nevada would do to provide the winning Electoral College margin as indicated in the map above. In my opinion Iowa (5.81%) would be the best chance for the GOP presuming the candidate is a conservative.

All things being equal i.e. an unpopular second term for President Obama and the economy still not in full recovery and the normal turn of the historic electoral wheel the GOP has every chance of victory even if Hillary is the nominee. If she is not the nominee then even New Hampshire, or New Mexico if Governor Martinez is on the ticket is in play as well.

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Latest List Of Palin Supporting Blog Sites

Latest list (H/T Josh Painter at the SarahPalinJournal) of  Palin supporting Blog sites-pay them a visit from time to time as they are hard-wroking dedicated supporters. Of course Conservatives4Palin is a key site to visit at all times. If I've left anyone off the list please let me know in the comments section. MJ (Here's the first one to add http://goldfishandclowns.com/ ) and
SarahPalinInformationBlog

America's Best Choice
ARRA News Service
City on a Hill Political Observer
C-POL
Frugal Café Blog Zone
House of Eratosthenes
I Am Paul Wilson
Jefferson's Rebels
Me 2|4 for Palin
MJ Sheppard's 'A Point of View'
Motivation Truth
Motor City Times
My Two Cents Worth
National Tea Party
New Jersey 4 Palin
Palin 4 America
Palin4President 2016
Palin Twibe
Patrick's World USA
Republican Catholics
Roderic Deane
Sarah Palin Blog
Snowed In
The Conservative Pup
Pelinore
The Sarah Palin Journal
TOTUS
US for Palin
Vets4Sarah.net

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(Video)Tyler Weyer:From President Of High School Class Of 27 To American President Because Of Sarah Palin?

Here a further update from "The Pacific Northwest Inlander" which just adds to the charm:LINK

Waiting for Sarah

This Saturday, Sarah Palin will meet her biggest fan and future protégé 

Deanna Pan

Republic High School teacher Liz Bremner dolls up Tyler Weyer, who played Sarah Palin for a school event. [Photo: Young Kwak]

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The closest Tyler Weyer has been to Sarah Palin was dressing as her — red blouse, auburn wig, rimless glasses and all.

About a month ago, before his classmates, teachers, principal and mother, the 17-year-old senior wobbled on high heels, purchased from the “11 plus” shelf at Value Village in Spokane. He towered over a blonde eighth-grade girl in a pantsuit on the Republic High School stage as they discussed the role of sexism in the 2008 presidential campaign.

“So please,” implored Tyler to the audience, “Stop photoshopping my head on sexy bikini photos.”

“Stop saying I have cankles,” the eighth-grader deadpanned.

Their spoof was a hit, even though everyone knew Tyler would do Sarah Palin. Last year, for the debate team’s annual “Interp Night,” he read the first paragraph of Palin’s book Going Rogue and nailed her distinctive Wasilla accent. He can still recite the opening lines — “It was the Alaska State Fair, August 2008. With the gray Talkeetna Mountains in the distance...” — from memory.

Tyler, the senior class president, is known around school for his fascination with the former Alaskan governor, but for the first time this year, he says, “I wasn’t the only one talking about Sarah Palin.” This Saturday, Palin will deliver the commencement address to Republic’s 27 graduating seniors after the class of 2013 bombarded Palin and her political action committee through Facebook, Twitter and email for several months.

The idea, of course, was Tyler’s.

Tyler distinctly remembers the day in August 2008 that Republican presidential nominee John McCain announced Palin as his running mate. He was watching TV at his grandparents’ house when Palin addressed the country.

“I know this is common and a lot of people feel this way, but I felt she was speaking to me and to me alone,” Tyler says in fourth period on Friday, the last day of classes for seniors. “I was like, ‘Oh my goodness, I like her!’ She has common sense. She’s a very level-headed woman. I mean, obviously, you couldn’t rise to that position if you weren’t.”

“I don’t feel that she’s a normal politician.”

He’s been following the rising Tea Party star ever since. He reads her books, knows her stance on all the issues and checks her Facebook page for regular updates. He has a framed autographed photo of Palin hanging on a wall in his bedroom. Even when he’s not impersonating Palin for drama productions, he’ll occasionally slip into her lexicon. His speech is peppered with the catchphrase queen’s folksy sound bites: “Oh gosh!” “Oh my goodness!” and “Aw shucks!”

In the years since her VP nomination, of course, Palin has charted an unconventional course. Amid major criticism, she quit her job as governor of Alaska and was all but fired by FOX News as a right-wing pundit. She became both a Tea Party kingmaker for anti-establishment candidates and the butt of countless late-night talk show jokes. RHS Principal Shawn Anderson receives two to three emails a week from outsiders criticizing the class’s decision. But Tyler dismisses his trolls. “We don’t pay attention to them,” he says.

And when Tyler wrote to Palin’s political action committee in January, he had the full support of his class. Part of her appeal, Tyler says, is the fact that she shares their small-town roots.

Republic, a 1.6-square-mile enclave in a sea of coniferous trees, is the only incorporated town in Ferry County, with a population of roughly 1,100 people, two-thirds of whom could easily fit inside the RHS gym. There’s one main street lined with all the necessities: grocer, pharmacist, post office, a couple motels and a Mexican restaurant. You’d have to drive an hour to go to the mall or see a movie.

“We’re lucky and also unlucky that [our kids] are pretty sheltered,” says Liz Bremner, an RHS teacher and debate coach. “But to see someone that has come from a small town, gotten an education and has gone out and become somebody who is nationally influential? I think it’s really important. We don’t have enough role models like that from small communities.”

Palin will be the biggest public figure to pass through Republic, according to many residents.

“They did a movie up in Greenwood [British Columbia]; that’s not far from here,” notes Joyce Bond, a longtime resident and vice chairman of the Ferry County Republican Central Committee, referring to the 1999 Ethan Hawke drama Snow Falling on Cedars. “Some of our locals had their cars in there and drove in the movie.”

Principal Anderson says he’s expecting nothing short of a “circus” on graduation day. In preparation for the event, he had to contact the city mayor to talk logistics. City police is coordinating security with state and tribal police, border patrol and the sheriff’s department. Anderson recently consulted the fire department about the gym’s capacity.

Each senior was given 20 tickets. A general admission line will form Saturday at 7 am for those hoping to squeeze inside. Even though students aren’t permitted to scalp their tickets, Bond says she would pay “$100 maybe” to see Palin address the senior class.

“Graduation anyways is packed, so with Palin coming it’s gonna be unbelievable,” she says. “We don’t get [celebrities] — that’s why it’s so amazing.”

In a bigger school, in a different town, Tyler might not fit in. His encyclopedic knowledge of congressional politics is kind of geeky. Few high school kids wash down their breakfast cereal with Fox & Friends or attend school board meetings voluntarily.

He regularly visits Principal Anderson’s office to voice his concerns about everything from club policies to campus beautification efforts. He successfully petitioned for a clock in the hallway. Two weeks ago, he complained to the principal, front office and even the superintendent about the goldenrod color used to paint the pillars outside.

“I have never had one issue with Tyler in school about any question of his character,” says Anderson. “But you know, he may drive you crazy every once in awhile.”

Tyler will attend Wenatchee Valley Community College next fall before transferring to Washington State University to study political science. When asked about his own future in politics, he answered like a seasoned politician.

“That’s a long time from here,” he says. “If I ever had the honor to hold public office, I would consider it an amazing privilege.” 

ADD YOURSADD COMMENT

Future President?

The young man pictured above, and interviewed in the news report below, Tyler Weyer, whom hardly anyone outside of the small town of about 1000 people Republic Wa. will have heard of, has the opportunity to become president of the United States of America.

He has this opportunity thanks to his own efforts (allied to the support from his young colleagues and mentors) which is the classic American way and to Sarah Palin.

Senior Class President Weyer and his fellow classmates from the Republic High School's senior graduation class of 27 conceived the idea of inviting Governor Sarah Palin to their graduation ceremony  and through grit, pluck, dedication and go to spirit they succeeded!

Sarah Palin will indeed address the school on June 1st in an event which will be forever a memory for all those who participated and who will attend.

There are so many lessons and informative insights in this happy saga. Certainly it proves the American way and spirit still flourishes, it proves that young people still have heart and are forward thinking and that dreams can come true.

It proves,or rather reinforces, the absolute truth that Sarah Palin is a unique "politician" (the term does not fully complete her as a person) in that she has the absolute common touch-she walks the walk amongst the often denigrated "flyover country" folk.

It is unimaginable that President Obama or a Romney or any other politician one could think of would travel so far and give so much time to such a small school-but that is the measure of Palin.

As for young Tyler Weyer, he's gone this far it is now in his hands to commence a further journey, should he so choose, which would again prove that nothing is impossible for dreamer who imagine for the best. He will receive tremendous publicity for his efforts, on top of that which has already passed across America, and there is a future for him in politics if wished.

Weyer's capabilities are already apparent, if he starts running for local office in due course based on his Palin accomplishment (whether for the left or right doesn't matter) then, if elected it will be up to him and his further abilities as to how far he can progress.

 But from what we have seen already, who can say that "President Weyer" is not a real possibility? Good luck to him in whatever adventures he sets out on.

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The above KREM Spokane report features aninterview with Weyer and backgrounds the upcoming event.

Here is a link to an earlier television report:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/15/sarah-palin-commencement-speech_n_3280124.html

Here is the original report-and also an interview with Tyler Weyer and others involved at from the Spokane-Review newspaper LINK HERE

I look forward with much interest and pleasure to the reports on Sarah Palin's address.

Kerri Sandaine ‏@newsfromkerri8h

Sarah Palin will be in my hometown as the guest speaker at Republic High School's graduation. Town's population is 1,000.

Sarah Palin to speak at Graduation.

Here is the press release:

"Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin to speak at Republic High School Graduation Republic High School is excited to announce that former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin has accepted the invitation of the senior class to serve as the 2013 commencement speaker on June 1.

After an extensive campaign by the senior class, led by class president Tyler Weyer, that included weeks of coordinated letter writing, emails, tweets, and a full facebook campaign including photographs, the senior class realized their dream to have Governor Palin speak at their commencement ceremony.

“We confer a special thank you to senior class president Tyler Weyer for his dedicated work in securing this year’s 2013 class speaker and recognize the Republic School District staff and community in supporting the senior class goal of realizing this once-in-a-lifetime event,” said Principal Shawn Anderson.

The Republic High School Senior Class of 2013 is comprised of 27 members and the full student body is 109 strong. Republic High School 2013 commencement ceremonies will be held on June 1 at Republic High School Gymnasium from 1 to 2:30 p.m." Edited to add.

Here is the LINK to the newspaper report;
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Here is the School's home page LINK


REPUBLIC SCHOOL DISTRICT #309

“The Republic School District will cultivate a safe, challenging environment for achieving maximum potential and student success. “
30306 East Hwy. 20 * Republic, WA 99166 * (509) 775-3173 * High School Office 775-3171 * Fax 775-3712
For Immediate Release
From: Republic School District #309
Republic, WA 99166

www.Republic.wednet.edu

Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin to speak at Republic HS Graduation
Republic, Washington-Republic High School is excited to announce that former

Alaska Governor Sarah Palin has accepted the invitation of the senior class to serve as
the 2013 commencement speaker on June 1, 2013.
After an extensive campaign by the senior class, led by class president Tyler Weyer,
that included weeks of coordinated letter writing, emails, tweets, and a full facebook
campaign including photographs, the senior class realized their dream to have
Governor Palin speak at their commencement ceremony.

“We confer a special thank you to senior class president Tyler Weyer for his dedicated
work in securing this year’s 2013 class speaker and recognize the Republic School
District staff and community in supporting the senior class goal of realizing this once
in a lifetime event,” said Principal Shawn Anderson.

The Republic High School Senior Class of 2013 is comprised of 27 members and the
full student body is 109 strong.
Republic High School 2013 commencement ceremonies will be held on June 1st at
Republic High School Gymnasiumfrom 1:00 to 2:30 PM. For media credentials please
contact Linda Christman at 509.775.3171..

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